Pucksauce

2025-26 Season Review

Playoff Odds

The 2025-26 season is in the books. This board is frozen at the final regular-season snapshot: how the model rated every team before the playoffs settled it.

Model · 43m ago2,000 simulated seasons avg 82 GP at snapshot

Final Snapshot

The 2025-26 Board Is Frozen

These are the final simulated odds from the completed 2025-26 season. The playoffs are decided, so nothing here is bettable: read it as what the model believed at the end of the regular season.

The Short List

Cup Favorites

Where the model had the field before the playoffs decided it

1 Favorite
16.2%
COL
Colorado Avalanche
2
15.0%
DAL
Dallas Stars
3
12.5%
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
4
10.8%
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
5
9.9%
BUF
Buffalo Sabres

Every Team

Full Odds Board

Final round-by-round probabilities, both conferences

Model · 43m ago

Eastern Conference

16 teams
Team Playoffs R2 CF SCF Cup
CAR100%65.1%37.3%20.4%12.5%
TBL100%66.9%34.5%19.7%10.8%
BUF100%57.6%32.8%17.7%9.9%
OTT100%42.4%24.6%12.1%6.0%
MTL100%53.7%23.9%10.9%5.3%
PIT100%46.3%18.8%8.4%3.8%
BOS100%34.9%16.0%6.7%2.6%
PHI100%33.1%12.3%4.3%1.9%
WSH0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
DET0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
CBJ0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
NYI0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
NJD0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FLA0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
TOR0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
NYR0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Western Conference

16 teams
Team Playoffs R2 CF SCF Cup
COL100%81.5%53.3%31.6%16.2%
DAL100%81.4%52.3%27.6%15.0%
MIN100%54.1%23.9%12.8%5.4%
VGK100%51.0%22.3%9.0%3.6%
UTA100%49.0%20.1%8.1%3.4%
EDM100%45.9%17.2%7.8%3.2%
LAK100%18.6%5.7%1.3%0.5%
ANA100%18.6%5.5%2.1%0.4%
STL0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
NSH0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
SJS0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
WPG0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
SEA0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
CGY0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
CHI0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
VAN0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Playoffs = make the playoffsR2 = win round oneCF = reach the conference finalsSCF = reach the Stanley Cup FinalCup = win the Stanley CupProj Pts = projected season points, hover for the simulated range