Stanley Cup Odds
NHL Playoff Odds
Monte Carlo simulation of the NHL season and playoffs. Based on 2,000 simulations using current standings.
Cup Favorites
Updated Feb 18, 9:40 PM1
17.2%
COL
Colorado Avalanche
2
15.2%
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
11.4%
DAL
Dallas Stars
4
11%
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
5
9.8%
MIN
Minnesota Wild
Full Odds by Conference
Eastern Conference
| Team | R1 | R2 | CF | SCF | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | >99% | 71% | 43.5% | 25.4% | 15.2% |
| CAR | 99.9% | 65.3% | 41.7% | 21.5% | 11% |
| PIT | 95.1% | 54% | 25.7% | 14% | 7% |
| BUF | 88.1% | 43.1% | 20% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| BOS | 79.2% | 34.8% | 16.4% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| MTL | 88.8% | 38.4% | 15.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| CBJ | 52.7% | 24.1% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| DET | 73% | 24.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| NYI | 61.1% | 23.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| WSH | 23.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 2% | 1.1% |
| OTT | 20.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| TOR | 9.6% | 2.7% | 1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| PHI | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| FLA | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | <1% | <1% |
| NJD | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | <1% | <1% |
| NYR | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Western Conference
| Team | R1 | R2 | CF | SCF | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | >99% | 79.9% | 49.8% | 30.4% | 17.2% |
| DAL | >99% | 70.6% | 39.6% | 21.4% | 11.4% |
| MIN | >99% | 70.8% | 38.2% | 19.7% | 9.8% |
| UTA | 94.2% | 56.3% | 28.2% | 13.7% | 6.4% |
| VGK | 96.5% | 38.2% | 15% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| EDM | 76.9% | 24.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| SEA | 76.7% | 21.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| ANA | 77.2% | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| LAK | 35% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| NSH | 13.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | <1% |
| SJS | 23.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | <1% |
| CHI | 0.7% | 0.1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| WPG | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | <1% | <1% |
| CGY | 2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | <1% |
| STL | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VAN | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
R1 = Make PlayoffsR2 = Win First RoundCF = Conference FinalsSCF = Stanley Cup FinalsCup = Win Stanley Cup