Stanley Cup Odds
NHL Playoff Odds
Monte Carlo simulation of the NHL season and playoffs. Based on 2,000 simulations using current standings.
Cup Favorites
Updated Feb 24, 11:00 PM1
15.6%
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
15.4%
COL
Colorado Avalanche
3
11.8%
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
4
11.3%
DAL
Dallas Stars
5
11%
MIN
Minnesota Wild
Full Odds by Conference
Eastern Conference
| Team | R1 | R2 | CF | SCF | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | >99% | 70.6% | 45.4% | 26.8% | 15.6% |
| CAR | 99.9% | 65.2% | 39.6% | 21.9% | 11.8% |
| PIT | 95.1% | 55.6% | 27.2% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| BUF | 85.8% | 41.2% | 20.3% | 10% | 5% |
| BOS | 78.8% | 33.3% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| MTL | 89.7% | 40.2% | 17.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| CBJ | 50.7% | 21.5% | 8.3% | 4% | 1.8% |
| DET | 73.6% | 25.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| NYI | 61.2% | 24% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| WSH | 23.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| OTT | 21.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| TOR | 10.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| PHI | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| FLA | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| NJD | 0.3% | 0.1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NYR | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Western Conference
| Team | R1 | R2 | CF | SCF | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | >99% | 79.1% | 48.4% | 27.6% | 15.4% |
| DAL | >99% | 72.6% | 41.8% | 22.7% | 11.3% |
| MIN | >99% | 71.5% | 39% | 21.9% | 11% |
| UTA | 94.4% | 55.7% | 27.8% | 13.8% | 6.8% |
| VGK | 97.1% | 38% | 15.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| EDM | 75.4% | 24.7% | 9.4% | 3% | 0.8% |
| SEA | 77.3% | 20.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| ANA | 79.2% | 22.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| NSH | 15.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| SJS | 22.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| WPG | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| LAK | 32.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | <1% |
| CHI | 1.2% | 0.2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CGY | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | <1% |
| STL | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VAN | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
R1 = Make PlayoffsR2 = Win First RoundCF = Conference FinalsSCF = Stanley Cup FinalsCup = Win Stanley Cup