2026-27 · Regular Season

Tonight's
Edge

Live scores, model probabilities, and market lines side by side. Every game, every night.

The Slate

Today's Games

Friday, October 9

7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
SEA
ML +120 · PL +1.5 (-205)
51%
DET
ML -142 · PL -1.5 (+170)
49%
SEA 51%modelDET 49%
7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
NYR
ML +120 · PL +1.5 (-218)
50%
WSH
ML -142 · PL -1.5 (+180)
50%
NYR 50%modelWSH 50%
7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
PIT
ML -102 · PL +1.5 (-250)
50%
CBJ
ML -118 · PL -1.5 (+205)
50%
PIT 50%modelCBJ 50%
8:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
ANA
ML +105 · PL +1.5 (-250)
43%
WPG
WPGFav
ML -125 · PL -1.5 (+205)
57%
ANA 43%modelWPG 57%

Market lines via DraftKings (NHL partner feed). Model % is our simulation. Where they disagree is where it gets interesting.

The League

NHL Standings

2026-27 Regular Season

Atlantic

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
OTT
3-1-06
2
TBL
3-1-06
3
FLA
2-0-26
Playoff Line
4
WC
BOS
3-2-06
5
WC
TOR
2-2-15
6
BUF
2-2-04
7
MTL
1-2-13
8
DET
1-2-02

Metropolitan

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
NYR
4-1-08
2
CAR
3-1-17
3
WSH
2-1-04
Playoff Line
4
NYI
2-2-04
5
PIT
2-2-04
6
CBJ
1-1-02
7
NJD
1-2-02
8
PHI
0-3-22

Central

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
WPG
3-0-17
2
COL
3-1-06
3
UTA
3-2-06
Playoff Line
4
WC
MIN
2-1-15
5
WC
NSH
2-1-15
6
DAL
2-2-04
7
STL
1-2-13
8
CHI
1-4-02

Pacific

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
VGK
4-1-08
2
EDM
3-0-17
3
SJS
3-1-06
Playoff Line
4
ANA
2-1-04
5
SEA
2-2-04
6
VAN
2-3-04
7
LAK
0-2-11
8
CGY
0-4-00

Inside the Numbers

How It Works

Official data in, transparent math out. No black boxes: the methodology is public.

Official + Market Data

NHL API for scores, standings, and schedules; sportsbook lines from the NHL's partner feed; injuries and transactions from ESPN. Every panel shows its data age.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Thousands of full season + playoff simulations per snapshot, with Bayesian-regressed team strength, zero-sum schedules, home ice, and back-to-back penalties.

Model vs. Market

Our simulated probabilities render next to real sportsbook lines. The gap between them is the whole point. That's where value hides.