Pucksauce

2026-27 · Regular Season

Tonight's
Edge

Live scores, model probabilities, and market lines side by side. Every game, every night.

Playoff Odds All Teams

The Slate

Today's Games

Friday, October 16

9:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
PIT
PIT
ML +170 · PL +1.5 (-142)
41%
COL
COLFav
ML -205 · PL -1.5 (+120)
59%
PIT 41%modelCOL 59%
10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
BOS
BOS
ML -112 · PL +1.5 (-278)
51%
ANA
ANA
ML -108 · PL -1.5 (+225)
49%
BOS 51%modelANA 49%

Market lines via DraftKings (NHL partner feed). Model % is our simulation. Where they disagree is where it gets interesting.

The League

NHL Standings

2026-27 Regular Season

Atlantic

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
OTT
6-2-012
2
BOS
5-2-010
3
TBL
5-2-010
Playoff Line
4
WC
FLA
4-2-210
5
WC
BUF
4-3-19
6
TOR
3-3-28
7
MTL
3-3-17
8
DET
2-3-26

Metropolitan

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
CAR
6-1-113
2
NYR
6-3-012
3
WSH
4-3-08
Playoff Line
4
NJD
4-3-08
5
NYI
3-3-17
6
PIT
3-3-17
7
CBJ
2-3-04
8
PHI
0-6-33

Central

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
UTA
6-2-012
2
MIN
5-2-111
3
WPG
4-1-210
Playoff Line
4
WC
COL
4-2-19
5
STL
3-3-17
6
DAL
3-3-17
7
NSH
2-2-37
8
CHI
3-5-06

Pacific

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
VGK
7-2-014
2
EDM
5-1-111
3
SEA
5-2-111
Playoff Line
4
WC
ANA
4-2-08
5
SJS
4-3-08
6
VAN
2-6-15
7
LAK
0-3-22
8
CGY
1-6-02

Inside the Numbers

How It Works

Official data in, transparent math out. No black boxes: the methodology is public.

Official + Market Data

NHL API for scores, standings, and schedules; sportsbook lines from the NHL's partner feed; injuries and transactions from ESPN. Every panel shows its data age.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Thousands of full season + playoff simulations per snapshot, with Bayesian-regressed team strength, zero-sum schedules, home ice, and back-to-back penalties.

Model vs. Market

Our simulated probabilities render next to real sportsbook lines. The gap between them is the whole point. That's where value hides.

Full Methodology