Pucksauce

2026-27 · Regular Season

Tonight's
Edge

Live scores, model probabilities, and market lines side by side. Every game, every night.

Playoff Odds All Teams

The Slate

Today's Games

Sunday, October 11

1 live
P1 13:48
Capital One Arena
SEA
SEA
3 SOG
1
WSH
WSH
1 SOG
0
6:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
VAN
VAN
ML +225 · PL +1.5 (-115)
36%
NYR
NYRFav
ML -278 · PL -1.5 (-105)
64%
VAN 36%modelNYR 64%
7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
CAR
CARFav
ML -218 · PL -1.5 (+120)
64%
PHI
PHI
ML +180 · PL +1.5 (-142)
36%
CAR 64%modelPHI 36%

Market lines via DraftKings (NHL partner feed). Model % is our simulation. Where they disagree is where it gets interesting.

The League

NHL Standings

2026-27 Regular Season

Atlantic

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
TBL
4-1-08
2
OTT
4-1-08
3
BOS
4-2-08
Playoff Line
4
WC
TOR
3-2-17
5
FLA
2-1-26
6
MTL
2-2-15
7
BUF
2-3-04
8
DET
1-3-13

Metropolitan

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
CAR
4-1-19
2
NYR
4-2-08
3
PIT
3-2-17
Playoff Line
4
WC
WSH
3-1-06
5
NJD
2-2-04
6
CBJ
2-2-04
7
NYI
2-3-04
8
PHI
0-4-22

Central

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
UTA
4-2-08
2
MIN
3-1-17
3
WPG
3-1-17
Playoff Line
4
WC
COL
3-2-06
5
NSH
2-1-26
6
DAL
2-2-15
7
STL
2-2-15
8
CHI
1-5-02

Pacific

Team W-L-OT PTS
1
VGK
5-1-010
2
EDM
4-0-19
3
ANA
4-1-08
Playoff Line
4
WC
SEA
3-2-06
5
SJS
3-2-06
6
VAN
2-4-04
7
LAK
0-2-22
8
CGY
0-5-00

Inside the Numbers

How It Works

Official data in, transparent math out. No black boxes: the methodology is public.

Official + Market Data

NHL API for scores, standings, and schedules; sportsbook lines from the NHL's partner feed; injuries and transactions from ESPN. Every panel shows its data age.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Thousands of full season + playoff simulations per snapshot, with Bayesian-regressed team strength, zero-sum schedules, home ice, and back-to-back penalties.

Model vs. Market

Our simulated probabilities render next to real sportsbook lines. The gap between them is the whole point. That's where value hides.

Full Methodology